ThermoNeural / Cold-Store Benchmark

Cold storage has no rent index.
Its power bill does.

Refrigeration energy and electricity cost per pallet position, per year, for 39 US cold-storage markets — modelled from public utility, climate and capacity data. Built for owners, buyers, lenders and appraisers who have to put a number on a cold facility.

$2.12
per pallet position / yr — cheapest market (Seattle, WA)
$9.49
per pallet position / yr — dearest market (Inland Empire (Chino), CA)
4.5×
spread between markets, same building, same racking
3.99 bn ft³
US refrigerated warehouse space (USDA NASS, Oct 2025)

This is institutional money: Lineage turned over $5.36 bn and Americold $2.54 bn in FY2025 (both SEC filers), against 3.99 bn ft³ of US refrigerated space (USDA NASS). Both underwrite energy per pallet by hand. Neither publishes a market-by-market index of it.

The index — 39 markets

One standard facility: 100,000 sq ft, 11 m clear, 22,000 pallet positions, 60% frozen at −18 °C and 40% chilled at +2 °C, 150 mm panels, electric defrost. Same building everywhere — only the climate and the tariff change. Costs use the 2024 EIA state industrial tariff.

MarketStateMean temp kWh/m²·yrkWh/pallet·yrPower $/pallet·yr$/yr
Inland Empire (Chino)CA19.0°C1044421.5¢$9.49$209k
FresnoCA18.3°C1034321.5¢$9.35$206k
Los AngelesCA17.6°C984121.5¢$8.86$195k
SacramentoCA16.6°C944021.5¢$8.58$189k
MiamiFL25.2°C134568.5¢$4.80$106k
TampaFL23.6°C126538.5¢$4.53$100k
PhoenixAZ24.2°C131567.9¢$4.38$96k
OrlandoFL22.7°C122528.5¢$4.37$96k
NewarkNJ13.1°C823511.9¢$4.16$91k
JacksonvilleFL20.7°C113488.5¢$4.04$89k
NorfolkVA16.5°C95409.0¢$3.62$80k
BaltimoreMD13.5°C843510.0¢$3.55$78k
BrownsvilleTX24.6°C131556.1¢$3.39$75k
WilmingtonNC18.0°C101437.8¢$3.32$73k
CharlotteNC16.3°C95407.8¢$3.10$68k
New YorkNY12.4°C80349.2¢$3.09$68k
AtlantaGA17.6°C100427.2¢$3.03$67k
HoustonTX21.4°C116496.1¢$3.01$66k
San AntonioTX20.9°C114486.1¢$2.95$65k
St. LouisMO14.1°C87377.9¢$2.90$64k
PhiladelphiaPA13.5°C84367.9¢$2.80$62k
ChicagoIL10.7°C75328.8¢$2.79$61k
Dallas-Fort WorthTX19.2°C107456.1¢$2.77$61k
New OrleansLA21.4°C116495.6¢$2.75$61k
IndianapolisIN12.0°C79338.2¢$2.72$60k
Kansas CityMO12.6°C82347.9¢$2.71$60k
Salt Lake CityUT12.6°C81347.9¢$2.70$59k
DenverCO10.6°C74318.6¢$2.67$59k
HarrisburgPA12.4°C80347.9¢$2.67$59k
MinneapolisMN8.2°C68299.2¢$2.63$58k
MemphisTN17.4°C100426.2¢$2.62$58k
AllentownPA11.7°C78337.9¢$2.58$57k
DetroitMI10.3°C73318.3¢$2.55$56k
PittsburghPA11.0°C75327.9¢$2.49$55k
NashvilleTN16.0°C94406.2¢$2.46$54k
CincinnatiOH12.6°C81347.1¢$2.42$53k
Oklahoma CityOK15.6°C92395.8¢$2.28$50k
DuluthMN4.8°C57249.2¢$2.19$48k
SeattleWA12.1°C76326.6¢$2.12$47k

2026-Q4 edition · 39 U.S. metros, one identical reference facility. Costs use the 2024 EIA state industrial tariffs; climate uses NOAA normals.

Read it as a band, not a verdict: your building's insulation, dock activity, setpoints and tariff rider will move it. The paid report puts your actual numbers against this band.

Refrigeration energy cost per pallet position by market
Cost per pallet position per year. Green (accent) bars are above $3.50.
Climate and electricity tariff as cost drivers
Two drivers, one bill: annual mean temperature (x) and the tariff (colour).
US refrigerated warehouse capacity, 12 largest states
Supply context: California (400M ft³), Georgia (304M ft³), Washington (301M ft³), Wisconsin (297M ft³), Texas (254M ft³).

What you can buy

Metro Report — one market

$1,950 one-time
  • Your facility measured against the market band, line by line, with the assumptions shown
  • Tariff analysis: what your state's industrial rate costs versus neighbouring markets
  • Sensitivity table: setpoint, dock activity, panel upgrade, defrost — what each is worth per year
  • Climate-adjusted forward view using NOAA normals, not a single year
  • Delivered in 5 business days, as a PDF you can hand to a lender or an appraiser
Buy the report — $1,950

Index subscription

$490 / month
  • The quarterly change log applied to the table — what moved and why, and the running history of every edition (the current table stays free at /markets)
  • New markets added as data lands
  • The model's assumptions, published in full — so you can check our work, not just take the number
Subscribe — $490 / month

Desk, portfolio and API tiers

Above the single-market report and the index sit the tiers a desk, an owner-operator or a lender actually runs on: the model file instead of the answer, every facility instead of one, and the numbers as a feed instead of a page. Same 39 markets, same public sources — the difference is how much of the model you hold and how many people can hold it.

Underwriter Pro

$1,250 / month
  • Everything in the Index, plus the re-runnable model file
  • Sensitivity engine — every driver run across all 39 markets
  • Full CSV and XLSX export of the underlying table
  • Second seat on the subscription
  • One Metro Report credit per quarter
  • Climate-adjusted forward view on NOAA normals, not a single year
Subscribe — $1,250 / month

Portfolio (Enterprise)

$3,500 / month
or $35,000 / year, prepaid
  • Unlimited seats across your desk and portfolio
  • Portfolio benchmarking — every facility against its market band
  • Custom facility modelling: your building, not the standard box
  • Full API access to the index
  • White-label — your brand on the output
Subscribe — $3,500 / month

API Starter

$599 / month
  • Machine access to the full 39-market index over HTTPS
  • JSON — the same numbers as the table, no page to read
  • Monthly refresh, with the data vintage recorded in each payload
  • One key for one system
Subscribe — $599 / month

API Scale

$1,499 / month
  • Everything in API Starter, sized for production load
  • Bulk and historical export for modelling
  • Quarterly diff feed — what moved and why, as it publishes
  • Priority support
Subscribe — $1,499 / month

Every tier is built on the same source data as the free table above: EIA state industrial tariffs, NOAA climate normals and USDA capacity. The free 39-market table stays free.

Straight talk. This is an engineering model on public data — modelled, 0.45×Carnot, 10 K condenser approach, minimum lift 10 K — not a utility bill. It answers "what should this building cost to run here", not "what did you pay last year".

Data: EIA Electric Sales & Revenue 2024 (state industrial tariff), NOAA NCEI 1991–2020 monthly normals (airport stations), USDA NASS Capacity of Refrigerated Warehouses 2025 (capacity) and Cold Storage (stocks). Where NASS withholds a state figure, the table says so.

Full method, constants and code: available with the report. Payments are processed by Stripe; the charge appears as COLDSTORE on your statement. Questions: hello@thermoneural.com.